Long conversations worth the time they take, and the episodes of my own series, The Fight. Each one has a note on why it is here, what I took from it, and where it stops.
The second episode of The Fight. A crowd of strangers can be smarter than the people in it, and a room of intelligent people can agree on something none of them wanted. Both have evidence behind them, and the episode finds the one condition that decides which of the two your next meeting turns into.
The first episode of The Fight, and the one that sets up the series: two true stories about trusting numbers over experts, one that ended in a lost war and one that ended in a record, and the single question that tells you which of the two your own numbers belong to.
The two men who most shaped how I think about risk, on one stage, and what makes it worth an hour is how much they agree, and the one precise place they do not.
A man I had written off for a decade, interviewed at fifty, and one sitting beat ten years of received opinion. Also the best negotiation lesson I have heard all year.
Every Saturday I send one idea worth your time, with an honest account of where the evidence stops. Subscribe to the Saturday letters.